David Waskow

International climate negotiators meeting last week in Geneva, Switzerland, started their journey toward establishing a new international climate agreement in Paris at the end of the year. As in the early stages of the Tour de France, they focused on getting their feel for the road. It was a positive start, with a constructive tone to it. Yet much of the road—including some likely mountain passes—still lies ahead.

Here are some of the key takeaways from the Geneva talks:

A Constructive Discussion: As I noted before the Geneva session began, two new co-chairs, Ahmed Djoghlaf of Algeria and Dan Reifsnyder of the United States, took on their role facilitating the negotiations. Although there were occasional bumps in the road, the co-chairs succeeded in creating an open atmosphere in the negotiating room. By inviting countries to share all of the language they would like to see in the negotiating text for a climate agreement, the co-chairs ensured that all parties felt their voices were heard. The text grew in length as a result, but the sense of constructive engagement was far more important than the increased number of pages. Now negotiators must draw on that reservoir of good will as they take on the task of honing and focusing that negotiating text, which will now form the basis for the next round of talks to be held in June in Bonn.

A Focus on Increasing Ambition Over Time: The concept of “cycles of action”—regular intervals at which countries will ramp up their domestic climate action plans on a predictable schedule, such as every five years—became a focal point in the negotiations. The question was no longer whether to have these cycles—there is a rapidly emerging consensus that they are essential. Instead, countries discussed the details about how the cycles would be structured, and exactly what they would address. How often should the commitments be scaled up? What kind of review process should occur around such commitments? Should there be a support cycle for adaptation as well as for mitigation? If so, how should they inform each other?

Support for a Long-Term Emissions Goal: More countries also joined in support for a specific long-term mitigation trajectory in the agreement that would reflect the goal of keeping global average temperature rise below 2 degrees C (3.6 degrees F). In Geneva, the European Union made clear its support for a phase-out of greenhouse gas emissions by the end of the century. Some African countries also expressed support for a long-term mitigation goal, though only initially for developed countries. To address these countries’ concerns, a phased approach to implementing a globally applicable goal may be needed, along with capacity building and financial support for implementation.

For the complete article, please see World Resources Institute.

Dennis Tänzler, adelphi

Several climate security studies have assessed the risks of climate change to security and examined potential foreign policy responses, but the connection between climate change and foreign policy remains underexplored. The new Climate Diplomacy Report of the German Foreign Office takes up the challenge.

Water
Sub-Saharan Africa
Meressa K. Dessu, Dawit Yohannes and Roba D. Sharamo , ISS Today

Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan are currently engaged in vital talks over the dispute relating to the filling and operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Nile River. While non-African actors are increasingly present in the negotiations, the African Union (AU) is playing a marginal role.

Climate Change
Security
Sub-Saharan Africa
Global Issues
Bastien Alex, IRIS

Climate change was more central than ever at this year’s Munich Security Conference (MSC), the leading international forum for senior military, security and foreign policy leaders. The release of the inaugural “World Climate and Security Report 2020” (WCSR 2020) by the Expert Group of the International Military Council on Climate and Security (IMCCS) should help policymakers take effective action.  

Land & Food
Security
Global Issues
adelphi

The mission of the Munich Security Conference is to “address the world’s most pressing security concerns”. These days, that means climate security: climate change is the ultimate threat multiplier, and anyone discussing food security, political instability, migration, or competition over resources should be aware of the climate change pressures that are so often at the root of security problems.