More than one year after the United Nations Security Council discussed the challenge of climate change to peace and security, it may be appropriate to ask what kind of follow up, if any, can be observed. The presidential statement, adopted by the participants on 20th July at the Security Council, asks for further contextual information on possible security implications of climate change, especially when the respective impacts are endangering processes of peace consolidation. The New York event has so far been followed by two international conferences: one in Berlin in October 2011 and one in London in March 2012. They took different perspectives but shared a joint intention: to give guidance to urgently needed geopolitical change management in the light of a changing climate.
The participants at the Berlin Conference “Climate Diplomacy in Perspective” in the Federal Foreign Office asked decision makers to reach beyond their traditional, thematic and even geographic focus. Based on discussions on the distinct challenges of water resource management, food security and coastal stability, the relevance of informal diplomacy, e.g. via Track II initiatives, was emphasized. In addition, the conference participants called for a conflict-sensitive design of climate policies to create peace-positive environments.
The London Conference, “A Climate and Resource Security Dialogue for the 21st Century“, reconfirmed that the climate change threat requires a “new diplomacy” approach involving the whole of society. Existing institutions should be the focus of restructuring processes to enable a transformation towards resilient societies. This institutional dimension was further elaborated by making more concrete recommendations on institutional innovations as a response to a more insecure climate. According to the participants, the UN should establish a Special Representative on Climate and Security. His or her mandate would be to advocate and assess the implications of climate and security in developing nations. In addition, foreign ministries should play a key role by coordinating the integration of different policy areas affected by climate change, such as development and security. Better coordination may also be needed to implement another set of recommendations at the national level: the creation of national platforms for dialogue and regular climate security impact assessments.
With the two conferences, the Foreign Ministries of Germany and the UK showed a strong commitment to take this non-traditional foreign policy challenge seriously. With a high-level side event during the UN Week at the end of September, the Federal Foreign Office also brought the topic back to New York. In the months to come, further regional dialogues are planned. In London, South Korea indicated its willingness to invite diplomats for another round. In sum, these efforts may help to ensure that the Security Council debate is not an isolated event but the starting signal for a new era of diplomacy.
Several climate security studies have assessed the risks of climate change to security and examined potential foreign policy responses, but the connection between climate change and foreign policy remains underexplored. The new Climate Diplomacy Report of the German Foreign Office takes up the challenge.
Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan are currently engaged in vital talks over the dispute relating to the filling and operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Nile River. While non-African actors are increasingly present in the negotiations, the African Union (AU) is playing a marginal role.
Climate change was more central than ever at this year’s Munich Security Conference (MSC), the leading international forum for senior military, security and foreign policy leaders. The release of the inaugural “World Climate and Security Report 2020” (WCSR 2020) by the Expert Group of the International Military Council on Climate and Security (IMCCS) should help policymakers take effective action.
The mission of the Munich Security Conference is to “address the world’s most pressing security concerns”. These days, that means climate security: climate change is the ultimate threat multiplier, and anyone discussing food security, political instability, migration, or competition over resources should be aware of the climate change pressures that are so often at the root of security problems.