The G7 Summit on 7-8 June 2015 in Schloss Elmau has dealt prominently with climate change and development issues. The German G7 Presidency achieved an unprecedented level of commitment to climate change insurance as adaptation tool, thus powerfully promoting resilience. The leaders of the G7 states jointly declared:
“We will aim to increase by up to 400 million the number of people in the most vulnerable developing countries who have access to direct or indirect insurance coverage against the negative impact of climate change related hazards by 2020 and support the development of early warning systems in the most vulnerable countries.”
Insurance helps to better cope with the consequences of climate change. Both the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (1992) and the Kyoto Protocol (1997) refer to it as one of the three ways to support adaptation in developing countries, along with providing funding and technology transfer.
Insurance companies have been suggesting for years that climate change should be considered in political and corporate planning. They are among the actors who observe climate change impacts on natural disaster trends most closely. The Global Insurance Industry Group, founded by ClimateWise, Munich Climate Insurance Initiative (MCII), and the UNEP Finance Initiative, maintained in the run-up to the COP19 in Warsaw that: “Increased risks resulting from climate change and ecological degradation pose a shared risk to the insurance industry, governments and society.”
The German government also has been working actively on the topic. The MCII received support from the International Climate Initiative of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety (BMUB) for the project Climate Risk Adaptation and Insurance in the Caribbean, implemented together with Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF), MicroEnsure and Munich Re.
The Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) contributed EUR 50 million to help establish and develop the ARC Insurance Company Ltd., which insures against drought risks in Kenya, Mauritania, Mozambique, Niger, and Senegal. Expansion to up to 20 African countries is planned. During the high-level conference on “Reducing risks, insuring losses, increasing resilience” held on 6 May 2015 in Berlin, Minister Gerd Müller (BMZ) announced that Germany would spend EUR 150 million to achieve the 400 million goal.
States, organisations and households can profit from insurance products. The CCRIF, for instance, allows Caribbean states to pool the risks caused by their exposure to extreme weather events. Index-based insurance, as offered by MCII or CCRIF, makes payments when certain weather indicators are red and before actual damage is caused. Importantly, the activities to improve risk analysis and preventive measures to reduce risks are accompanying elements of insurance projects. Incentives to adopt adaptation measures can be integrated into an insurance scheme.
However, the scaling-up of pilot projects is demanding. To gather appropriate data, establish an effective regulatory framework and build trust among potential customers are all challenging tasks. Also, the sustainability question remains. Will insurance schemes persist when initial donor funding runs out and climate-related damage increases? And what does it take to offer an adequate solution to the uneven risk distribution around the world?
Experts furthermore reiterate that loss and damage as well as building resilience remain important issues for vulnerable countries, and climate insurance alone cannot be a sufficient response to this. The developing world and its advocates still expect an unequivocal and transparent outline of how the Copenhagen commitment of developed countries to mobilise annual climate finance of USD 100 billion by 2020 will be met.
The European Green Deal has made the environment and climate change the focus of EU action. Indeed, climate change impacts are already increasing the pressure on states and societies; however, it is not yet clear how the EU can engage on climate security and environmental peacemaking. In this light, and in the run-up to the German EU Council Presidency, adelphi and its partners are organising a roundtable series on “Climate, environment, peace: Priorities for EU external action in the decade ahead”.
In January 2020, the German Federal Foreign Office launched Green Central Asia, a regional initiative on climate and security in Central Asia and Afghanistan. The aim of the initiative is to support a dialogue in the region on climate change and associated risks in order to foster regional integration between the six countries involved.
Climate change will shift key coordinates of foreign policy in the coming years and decades. Even now, climate policy is more than just environment policy; it has long since arrived at the centre of foreign policy. The German Foreign Office recently released a report on climate diplomacy recognizing the biggest challenges to security posed by climate change and highlighting fields of action for strengthening international climate diplomacy.
A high-level ministerial conference in Berlin is looking at the impact of climate change on regional security in Central Asia. The aim is to foster stronger regional cooperation, improve the exchange of information and form connections with academia and civil society.