
Stories of clear skies and wildlife conquering urban areas might provide much needed comfort during these uncertain times as the health crisis unfolds. But in Brazil, where climate and environmental issues already lack attention and resources, the pandemic underscores the next crisis.
As the novel coronavirus spreads throughout Latin America and the Caribbean, social media have been rife with reports touting some of the environmental and climate benefits of the pandemic. Lower levels of pollution due to falling industrial output and the ’comeback‘ of wildlife into urban areas are cited as evidence that the crisis may have an environmental silver lining, even if temporary.
However, the pandemic also has highly negative impacts in the region. While there is a decrease in the amount of street trash in urban areas (about 55% in the city of São Paulo), households are producing more garbage. There has also been a boost in the disposal of toxic materials such as hospital waste—according to some estimates, this is expected to increase anywhere between 10 to 20 times during the pandemic. Likewise, there is an uptick in the consumption of household electricity and gas, even as industrial consumption falls.
In addition, the pandemic has facilitated a trend that was already observed in 2019: the acceleration of deforestation in the Amazon basin. According to satellite data from the Deter system of Brazil's National Institute for Space Research (INPE), the number of deforestation alerts in the Brazilian Amazon so far has increased by 51% in comparison to last year—the highest level during the entire data series, which started in 2016. There is a combination of factors driving this increase.
First, the government of Jair Bolsonaro continues to press for de-regulation of protected lands, especially for mining purposes. Second, even before legal changes are implemented, groups in the Amazon feel emboldened by the government's official discourse to invade land, whether to farm, ranch or in search of wood and minerals. Local organisations in the Amazon state of Roraima, on the Brazil-Venezuela border, report a sharp increase in the number of illegal miners invading the Yanomami Indigenous Land, precisely as the first deaths due to COVID-19 occur among Brazilian indigenous groups. And third, as other countries turn inwards to tackle their own COVID-19 challenges, international pressure on the Amazon governments (as seen in the aftermath of the peak in forest fires in mid-2019) to protect the forest has eased. Compounding these factors are the further weakening of monitoring institutions and new budgetary pressures, including the limited available resources for military operations to curb deforestation.
More broadly, yet just as pernicious, is the lack of attention being paid to climate change by leaderships within the region—and even by civil society and private sector actors, as they scramble to face the challenges of the pandemic. National and subnational governments are focusing heavily on obtaining protective equipment and other essential emergency supplies— sometimes clashing over these resources and other decisions related to the pandemic. This year’s Earth Day came and went with very little fanfare across the region. Even the limited amount of progress being made in poverty alleviation—for instance, the universal emergency basic income implemented in Brazil, or the support packages being offered to companies—are failing to take into account climate change.
Yet, post-pandemic recovery in the region must incorporate climate action, lest Latin American and Caribbean populations remain as woefully unprepared for the next catastrophe as they have been for the COVID-19 pandemic.
Jair Bolsonaro, Brasil’s current de facto presidential frontrunner, says he would withdraw Brazil from the Paris Agreement if he wins the October election. The withdrawal of such an important developing country, home to the world’s largest rainforest, would deal a blow to international climate cooperation. Bolsorano’s opposition to the international pact has drawn criticism from the UN’s environment chief.
Until now, no one had seriously doubted that relations between the US and Europe, for all the difficulties and conflicts they have gone through, would continue safe and sound. Since Trump was elected as US President however, the atmosphere has changed. The re-nationalisation of the world order has gained speed and is making clear how far advanced global interdependencies have become. With global multilateralism in crisis, climate diplomacy could act as a new driving force.
There are only a few weeks to go before international and local leaders from states, regions, cities, businesses, investors and civil society travel to the Global Climate Action Summit in San Francisco to create a new wave of mobilization. As Earth is at risk of entering a situation of extreme conditions, those going must bring along more than just flowers in their hair.
The surge in the frequency and intensity of climate change impacts has raised the alarm about how this could hamper coastal activities. Several critical ports in the Indo-Pacific region are hubs of international trade and commerce and at the same time vulnerable to typhoons, taller waves and erosion. India’s climate diplomacy at the regional level could activate climate-resilient pathways for port development and management.