Climate Change
Early Warning & Risk Analysis
Global Issues
adelphi

Climate change is a global threat to national as well as human security. The resulting risks for sustainable economic development, peace, and livelihoods are increasingly recognized as an important factor in political decision making.

The WorldRiskReport 2015 highlights the urgency of addressing climate change and the compound risk factors it is linked to. These risks have the potential to turn a natural hazard such as drought or cyclone into a disaster. If societies do not mitigate and adapt to climate change, more extreme and more frequent natural hazard events in the future will further increase risks across the globe.

The focus of the 2015 report is the relationship between disaster risk and food (in-)security. “While there is no ‘statistical link’, both reinforce each other”, Peter Mucke, Managing Director of Bündnis Entwicklung Hilft (Alliance Development Works) and initiator of the report, emphasized during the report launch. People are more exposed to natural hazards when food insecurity induces them to migrate to new areas or countries. In order to reduce disaster risk and enhance resilience, agricultural, climate and development policies need to be interlinked, the authors of the report sustain.

The WorldRiskReport is published yearly by Alliance Development Works in collaboration with the United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS). It applies the World Risk Index, a composite tool which accounts for both the exposure of countries to natural hazards, as well as for their specific social, economic and ecological conditions. Unstable political and institutional structures, for instance in (post-)conflict settings, impact a country’s vulnerability to natural hazards. Jörn Birkmann, co-author of the WorldRiskReport, highlighted that the issues of governance as well as military conflict influence a country’s capacities for adaptation and disaster risk reduction. The importance of considering state fragility was recently recognized by the G7 Foreign Ministers. In 2015 they committed to making resilience a central foreign policy priority, based on the recommendations of the report “A New Climate For Peace”.

Integrating international efforts in the areas of climate adaptation, disaster risk reduction and conflict prevention is a critical path to pursue. The year 2015 has already been marked by several high-profile conferences on these issues – in Sendai, Addis Ababa, and New York, with important new agendas such as the Sustainable Development Goals. The outcomes of these meetings, as well as of the upcoming climate conference in Paris, need to be followed up by concrete actions.

 


At a briefing ahead of the COP25, foreign minister Heiko Maas called for higher ambition for the European Union, which should act as a role-model to encourage other states to boost their commitments to climate action. He further reiterated the importance of supporting multilateralism and an international climate regime that is able to withstand setbacks, such as the US withdrawal of the Paris Agreement.

Climate Change
Early Warning & Risk Analysis
Global Issues
adelphi

Climate change is increasingly challenging global security and undermining peacebuilding efforts. UN Environment and the European Union have joined forces to address these challenges. With the support of adelphi, they have developed a toolkit on ‘Addressing climate-fragility risks’. This toolkit facilitates the development and implementation of strategies, policies, and projects that seek to build resilience by linking climate change adaptation, peacebuilding, and sustainable livelihoods, focusing on the pilot countries Sudan and Nepal.

Climate Change
Security
Global Issues
European Security and Defence College (ESDC)

Nobody needs to be convinced that climate change affects our very existence and security. However, experts are interested to know how climate change affects security at a global level and what the EU can do in that regard. This was the main aim of the European Security and Defence College (ESDC) Climate Change and Security Course co-organised by the French Institute for Higher National Defence Studies (IHEDN) and adelphi, as part of the Climate Diplomacy initiative supported by the German Federal Foreign Office, which took place in Brussels from 21 to 23 October 2019.

Climate Change
Security
Sub-Saharan Africa
11 November, 2019

Shoring up Stability in Niger

Stella Schaller, Janani Vivekananda (adelphi) and Oli Brown (Chatham House)

The new study Shoring up Stability demonstrates, for the first time, how climate change interacts with conflict and exacerbates the humanitarian crisis in the Lake Chad region. To launch the report and discuss its findings with local policy-makers, experts and practitioners, the German Embassy in Niger, adelphi and CNESS co-organised a launch event on 24 October in Niamey. Insights from Niger point to the importance of investing in governance rather than technical fixes.