Climate Change
Early Warning & Risk Analysis
Global Issues
adelphi

Climate change is a global threat to national as well as human security. The resulting risks for sustainable economic development, peace, and livelihoods are increasingly recognized as an important factor in political decision making.

The WorldRiskReport 2015 highlights the urgency of addressing climate change and the compound risk factors it is linked to. These risks have the potential to turn a natural hazard such as drought or cyclone into a disaster. If societies do not mitigate and adapt to climate change, more extreme and more frequent natural hazard events in the future will further increase risks across the globe.

The focus of the 2015 report is the relationship between disaster risk and food (in-)security. “While there is no ‘statistical link’, both reinforce each other”, Peter Mucke, Managing Director of Bündnis Entwicklung Hilft (Alliance Development Works) and initiator of the report, emphasized during the report launch. People are more exposed to natural hazards when food insecurity induces them to migrate to new areas or countries. In order to reduce disaster risk and enhance resilience, agricultural, climate and development policies need to be interlinked, the authors of the report sustain.

The WorldRiskReport is published yearly by Alliance Development Works in collaboration with the United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS). It applies the World Risk Index, a composite tool which accounts for both the exposure of countries to natural hazards, as well as for their specific social, economic and ecological conditions. Unstable political and institutional structures, for instance in (post-)conflict settings, impact a country’s vulnerability to natural hazards. Jörn Birkmann, co-author of the WorldRiskReport, highlighted that the issues of governance as well as military conflict influence a country’s capacities for adaptation and disaster risk reduction. The importance of considering state fragility was recently recognized by the G7 Foreign Ministers. In 2015 they committed to making resilience a central foreign policy priority, based on the recommendations of the report “A New Climate For Peace”.

Integrating international efforts in the areas of climate adaptation, disaster risk reduction and conflict prevention is a critical path to pursue. The year 2015 has already been marked by several high-profile conferences on these issues – in Sendai, Addis Ababa, and New York, with important new agendas such as the Sustainable Development Goals. The outcomes of these meetings, as well as of the upcoming climate conference in Paris, need to be followed up by concrete actions.

 


Climate Diplomacy
Global Issues
Aline Robert, Euractiv

Even as the US officially pulled out of the Paris Agreement earlier this week, it might be too soon to lose hope on the country's long-term commitments to climate action. If a Democrat wins the upcoming presidential elections, which are set for November 2020, a reaccession process could begin shortly after the withdrawal is complete. In the meantime, however, the effect on trade policy could be significant.

Climate Change
Land & Food
Europe
Global Issues
Josh Gabbatiss, Carbon Brief

European peatlands could turn from carbon sinks to sources as a quarter have reached levels of dryness unsurpassed in a record stretching back 2,000 years, according to a new study. This trend of “widespread” and “substantial” drying corresponds to recent climate change, both natural and human-caused, but may also be exacerbated by the peatlands being used for agriculture and fuel.

Adaptation & Resilience
Capacity Building
Conflict Transformation
Development
Finance
Land & Food
Middle East & North Africa
Planetary Security Initiative

The Kingdom of the Netherlands has contributed $28 million to back FAO's work to boost the resilience of food systems in Somalia, Sudan, and South Sudan - part of a new initiative to scale-up resilience-based development work in countries affected by protracted crises.

Harro van Asselt, IISD

A group of five small countries have announced that they will launch negotiations on a new Agreement on Climate Change, Trade and Sustainability, which, if successful, would constitute the first international trade agreement focused solely on climate change and sustainable development. The initiative also breaks new ground by aiming to simultaneously remove barriers for trade in environmental goods and services and crafting binding rules to eliminate fossil fuel subsidies. Small countries can pioneer the development of new trade rules that can help achieve climate goals, but making credible commitments, attracting additional participants, and ensuring transparency will be essential ingredients for long-term success.