Climate Change
Early Warning & Risk Analysis
Global Issues
adelphi

Climate change is a global threat to national as well as human security. The resulting risks for sustainable economic development, peace, and livelihoods are increasingly recognized as an important factor in political decision making.

The WorldRiskReport 2015 highlights the urgency of addressing climate change and the compound risk factors it is linked to. These risks have the potential to turn a natural hazard such as drought or cyclone into a disaster. If societies do not mitigate and adapt to climate change, more extreme and more frequent natural hazard events in the future will further increase risks across the globe.

The focus of the 2015 report is the relationship between disaster risk and food (in-)security. “While there is no ‘statistical link’, both reinforce each other”, Peter Mucke, Managing Director of Bündnis Entwicklung Hilft (Alliance Development Works) and initiator of the report, emphasized during the report launch. People are more exposed to natural hazards when food insecurity induces them to migrate to new areas or countries. In order to reduce disaster risk and enhance resilience, agricultural, climate and development policies need to be interlinked, the authors of the report sustain.

The WorldRiskReport is published yearly by Alliance Development Works in collaboration with the United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS). It applies the World Risk Index, a composite tool which accounts for both the exposure of countries to natural hazards, as well as for their specific social, economic and ecological conditions. Unstable political and institutional structures, for instance in (post-)conflict settings, impact a country’s vulnerability to natural hazards. Jörn Birkmann, co-author of the WorldRiskReport, highlighted that the issues of governance as well as military conflict influence a country’s capacities for adaptation and disaster risk reduction. The importance of considering state fragility was recently recognized by the G7 Foreign Ministers. In 2015 they committed to making resilience a central foreign policy priority, based on the recommendations of the report “A New Climate For Peace”.

Integrating international efforts in the areas of climate adaptation, disaster risk reduction and conflict prevention is a critical path to pursue. The year 2015 has already been marked by several high-profile conferences on these issues – in Sendai, Addis Ababa, and New York, with important new agendas such as the Sustainable Development Goals. The outcomes of these meetings, as well as of the upcoming climate conference in Paris, need to be followed up by concrete actions.

 


Climate Change
Environment & Migration
Security
Middle East & North Africa
adelphi

In this interview, EcoPeace Directors Nada Majdalani (Palestine), Yana Abu-Taleb (Jordan) and Gidon Bromberg (Israel) explain why disengaging from a shared environment can aggravate the region’s security challenges.

Climate Change
Security
Oceania & Pacific
Delia Paul, IISD

At the conclusion of the 50th Pacific Islands Forum, Pacific leaders issued a Forum Communiqué and the ‘Kainaki II Declaration for Urgent Climate Change Action Now’ – the strongest collective statement the Forum has issued on climate change. Pacific leaders highlight the UN Secretary-General’s Climate Action Summit, the SAMOA Pathway Review, and 25th session of the Conference of the Parties (COP 25) to the UNFCCC as “global turning points to ensure meaningful, measurable and effective climate change action”.

Climate Diplomacy
Private Sector
South America
Central America & Caribbean
Adriana Erthal Abdenur, Igarapé Institute

If ratified, the Mercosur-EU trade deal may reinforce the parties’ commitment to climate action. Yet, its potential relevance is weakened by a language that often stops short of concrete commitments, as well as political resistance.

Climate Change
Water
Middle East & North Africa
Theodore Karasik and Jacopo Spezia Depretto, Fair Observer

Iraq is on the verge of an environmental breakdown, and climate change is not helping. The country's fragile environment and the increasing scarcity of natural resources — particularly water — are a result of poor environmental management, as well as several political and historical factors. However, as climate change impacts add to the existing pressures, the environmental collapse turns into a security issue.