Climate change can have severe impacts on security. In this interview, Francesco Femia, Co-Founder and President at the Center for Climate and Security, explains how climate change can exacerbate already existing drivers of migration, such as food or water stress, creating major migration flows that can have a significant regional and international security impact. He also explains how climate change alters the conditions in traditionally unstable geo-strategic environments - such as the Arctic or the South China Sea - making them even more unstable.

Adrien Detges, adelphi
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CD Report_Quant_170405 Adrien Detges

In recent years, a growing number of studies have appeared that analyse the statistical relationship between climate change and violent conflict. Whilst this research offers a comprehensive and systematic assessment of emerging climate-security risks, its results remain ambiguous and are often misinterpreted. This is all the more serious as quantitative evidence dominates current discussions on the security implications of climate change and therefore has a major bearing on policy-making.

Lukas Rüttinger, Adelphi

 

 

As the climate changes, so too do the conditions in which non-state armed groups operate. The complex risks presented by conflicts, climate change and increasingly fragile geophysical and socio-political conditions can contribute to the emergence and growth of non-state armed groups. Our new report examines the links between climate-fragility risks and non-state armed groups.

Climate Change
Climate Diplomacy
Conflict Transformation
Security
Global Issues
Lukas Rüttinger, adelphi
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Insurgency Non State Armed Groups Terrorism Climate Change

Over the past ten years, both our understanding and awareness of the links between climate change and security have increased tremendously. Today the UN, the EU, the G7 and an increasing number of states have classified climate change as a threat to global and/or national security. However, the links between climate change, conflict and fragility are not simple and linear. The increasing impacts of climate change do not automatically lead to more fragility and conflict. Rather, climate change acts as a threat multiplier.

Climate Change
Climate Diplomacy
Asia
Joanna Lewis and Li Shuo, chinadialogue

Presidents Trump and Xi met on 6 April 2017 at Mar-a Lago, Florida. The environment and climate change were not discussed. Given the tense state of US-China relations and the political leanings of the Trump administration, there is much at stake for cooperation between the countries on the climate agenda – the most important bilateral relationship in the world. To maintain it, both a high-level paradigm shift of China’s diplomatic approach and a considered assessment of feasible areas of cooperation are needed.

In this video, Kitty van der Heijden reports first-hand on conflicts resulting from water scarcity in the Nile region and the urgency to utilize forecasting and data analysis to prevent violence between different states from escalating. The defense community, she argues, must address risks early-on. Kitty van der Heijden is Director for Europe and Africa at the World Resource Institute, and lives in Ethiopia.

This interview was conducted at the Planetary Security Conference in The Hague, 5-6 December 2016.

Adaptation & Resilience
Climate Change
South America
Guy Edwards, Climate Home

Facing an enormous clean-up job, Peru must think about a future where flood like those in March become ever more common. In the wake of powerful rains that led to devastating floods and mudslides, Peru’s president Pedro Pablo Kuczynski says the country should expect more such devastating weather events.

Source:
Climate Home
Climate Diplomacy
Energy
Global Issues
Karl Mathiesen

G7 energy ministers have failed to agree on a statement supporting the Paris climate accord after the US delegation said it was reviewing its position.

Source:
Climate Home
chinadialogue

With Obama's climate policy threatened, chinadialogue asked Chinese experts about the potential impact of the US leaving the Paris Agreement. Will the attack on the Clean Power Plan make a difference elsewhere, particularly if it's the first step in an effort by the US to leave the Paris Agreement altogether?

Climate Change
Development
Energy
Asia
Dr Vigya Sharma

Vigya Sharma travelled to the state of Odisha, on India’s east, to get some insights on the linkages between energy access, rural poverty and climate change adaptation. In this post, she summarises her findings. How does Odisha’s government currently identify and establish links between natural disasters and rural poverty? And what role, if at all, may the current policy environment consider of energy poverty in further accentuating these linkages?

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