This report takes stock of key developments since the publishing of the independent report A New Climate For Peace commissioned by G7 members. It provides a concise risk horizon scan, and an overview and assessment of key policy developments in 2015 and 2016 that are of relevance for addressing climate-fragility risks and fostering the global resilience agenda.
[This article originally appeared on New Security Beat, the blog of The Wilson Center's Environment Change and Security Program]
In this four-page comment, Susanne Dröge from SWP discusses what the election of Donald Trump as the new US president will mean for future international climate policy cooperation. She argues that Germany and the EU need a comprehensive new climate diplomacy strategy to deal with the fallout of the US turnaround. Read the full comment here.
What is the current and what will be the future role of the climate energy nexus in the G20? Did the adoption and entry into force of the Paris Agreement influence the agenda of the G20fora or vice versa? To provide answers to these questions, this paper critically assesses, inter alia, the status of approaches to address the climate-energy nexus in the G20 countries and provides recommendations for the climate and energy agenda of the German G20 presidency in 2017.
The GCSP’s new strategic security brief “Water Security, Conflict and Cooperation” sheds light on rising water stress, the conflict risks, and on potential ways to improve cooperation across borders and manage water sustainably.
The world of 2035 will be facing global and regional insecurities that could be “more dangerous than the second half of the Cold War era,” according to a 2016 report from the Atlantic Council. Global Risks 2035: The Search for a New Normal, authored by Mathew J. Burrows.
Recently released by the World Bank, Unbreakable: Building the Resilience of the Poor in the Face of Natural Disasters finds that extreme natural disasters cost the global economy $520 billion in lost consumption each year – 60 percent higher than any previous estimate. Traditional disaster risk assessments have focused solely on aggregate losses, or how “disasters affect people wealthy enough to have wealth to lose.” But, as the report points out, a dollar in losses does not mean the same thing to the wealthy as it does to the poor. Instead, the report uses a new measurement that moves beyond asset losses to estimate a community’s socioeconomic resilience – or the ability to resist, absorb, accommodate, and recover from the effects of a hazard in a timely manner.
This study presents the unique features that distinguish the Partnership in the international climate governance architecture and documents main deliverables of the International Partnership on Mitigation and MRV. It summarises lessons learnt during five years of the Partnership’s existence and poses questions for identifying the role of the partnership following the adoption of the Paris Agreement by outlining possible next steps in the Partnership’s activity.
A low-emission transition will require profound changes in terms of infrastructure, business models as well as individual habits. In order to support this process adelphi, WiseEuropa and the Institute for Sustainable Development launched a Polish-German discussion on the benefits of a low-emission economy for local development. The discussion paper draws on this exchange, and offers a basis for further reflection about selected benefits based on evidence from Germany and Poland.
In a recent paper published by Climatic Change, Nick Obradovich conducts the “first-ever” investigation into the relationship between rising global temperatures, electoral returns, and climate change. Using data from more than 1.5 billion votes cast across electoral contests held in 19 countries, he found that when the annual average temperature for a country rose above 70°F, there was a “marked” decrease in the number of votes received by incumbent officeholders.