China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a prime example of how decarbonisation processes interact with geopolitical dynamics. The successful implementation of the Paris Agreement depends on the emissions trajectories of the BRI partner countries and the infrastructure choices they make today. China’s support to energy, transportation and industrial projects might influence some of these choices, and these investments often underpin the geopolitical aspirations of China and its partners.

Caribbean countries have long suffered from the destructive impacts of natural hazards. Climate change is projected to make them worse. Its impacts are adding to population and urbanisation pressures, limited land, food, water and energy resources, resulting in environmental degradation, rising unemployment, inequality and poverty. This risk brief identifies three critical pathways that link climate change to fragility in the Caribbean.

In Sudan, the term ‘climate war’ has often been used to draw a direct causal link between climate change and conflict. In reality, these conflicts are far more complex, which can be traced back to a history of regional marginalisation, ethno-occupational tensions, and failures in governance.

This paper is the result of a series of structured interviews with more than a dozen senior envoys, peace process facilitators and conflict resolution experts from the EU, UN, governments, and civil society conducted between May and June 2020. It presents a cross-section of experience, lessons learned and expectations about what the future holds for practitioners in trying to bring peace in a climate-changed world.