Susanne Dröge

In this four-page comment, Susanne Dröge from SWP discusses what the election of Donald Trump as the new US president will mean for future international climate policy cooperation. She argues that Germany and the EU need a comprehensive new climate diplomacy strategy to deal with the fallout of the US turnaround. Read the full comment here.

Lina Li, Julia Melnikova and Dennis Tänzler
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Climate-Energy Nexus and the G20 adelphi

What is the current and what will be the future role of the climate energy nexus in the G20? Did the adoption and entry into force of the Paris Agreement influence the agenda of the G20fora or vice versa? To provide answers to these questions, this paper critically assesses, inter alia, the status of approaches to address the climate-energy nexus in the G20 countries and provides recommendations for the climate and energy agenda of the German G20 presidency in 2017.

Security
Water
Global Issues
David Michel, Geneva Centre for Security Policy
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Water Security Conflict and Cooperation

The GCSP’s new strategic security brief “Water Security, Conflict and Cooperation” sheds light on rising water stress, the conflict risks, and on potential ways to improve cooperation across borders and manage water sustainably.

Climate Change
Security
Global Issues
Mathew J. Burrows
Books and Studies

The world of 2035 will be facing global and regional insecurities that could be “more dangerous than the second half of the Cold War era,” according to a 2016 report from the Atlantic Council. Global Risks 2035: The Search for a New Normal, authored by Mathew J. Burrows.

Adaptation & Resilience
Climate Change
Security
Global Issues
World Bank Group
Books and Studies

Recently released by the World Bank, Unbreakable: Building the Resilience of the Poor in the Face of Natural Disasters finds that extreme natural disasters cost the global economy $520 billion in lost consumption each year – 60 percent higher than any previous estimate. Traditional disaster risk assessments have focused solely on aggregate losses, or how “disasters affect people wealthy enough to have wealth to lose.” But, as the report points out, a dollar in losses does not mean the same thing to the wealthy as it does to the poor. Instead, the report uses a new measurement that moves beyond asset losses to estimate a community’s socioeconomic resilience – or the ability to resist, absorb, accommodate, and recover from the effects of a hazard in a timely manner.

Dennis Tänzler, Katharina Nett, Aki Kachi and Julia Melnikova
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Publication Mitigation MRV Study A look back to take the next steps forward - adelphi.png

This study presents the unique features that distinguish the Partnership in the international climate governance architecture and documents main deliverables of the International Partnership on Mitigation and MRV. It summarises lessons learnt during five years of the Partnership’s existence and poses questions for identifying the role of the partnership following the adoption of the Paris Agreement by outlining possible next steps in the Partnership’s activity.

Wis, Joanna; Camille Serre, Aleksander Śniegocki, Franciszek Jackl, Andrzej Kassenberg and Wojciech Szymalski
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Tapping into the co-benefits of low-emission economy in cities

A low-emission transition will require profound changes in terms of infrastructure, business models as well as individual habits. In order to support this process adelphi, WiseEuropa and the Institute for Sustainable Development launched a Polish-German discussion on the benefits of a low-emission economy for local development. The discussion paper draws on this exchange, and offers a basis for further reflection about selected benefits based on evidence from Germany and Poland.

Nick Obradovich
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Publication: Climate change may speed democratic turnover

In a recent paper published by Climatic Change, Nick Obradovich conducts the “first-ever” investigation into the relationship between rising global temperatures, electoral returns, and climate change. Using data from more than 1.5 billion votes cast across electoral contests held in 19 countries, he found that when the annual average temperature for a country rose above 70°F, there was a “marked” decrease in the number of votes received by incumbent officeholders.

Nina von Uexkulla, Mihai Croicua, Hanne Fjeldea, Halvard Buhaug
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Civil conflict sensitivity to growing-season drought

In a paper released by PNAS, Nina von Uexkull, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, and Halvard Buhaug argue that the lack of consensus among researchers working on the connection between climate change and conflict is tied to the inadequate attention given to “the context in which droughts and other climatic extremes increase the risk of violent mobilization.” This is an essential consideration in order to move beyond broad generalizations and identify group motivations and vulnerabilities.

Climate Change
Climate Diplomacy
Sub-Saharan Africa
Middle East & North Africa
Estherine Lisinge-Fotabong, Mamadou Diakhité, Kwame Ababio and Rudo Makunike
Policy Brief

Climate change is a decisive global challenge which, if not urgently managed, will put at risk not only the environment but also world economic prosperity, development and, more broadly, stability and security. Africa’s vulnerability to climate change is exacerbated by a number of non-climatic factors, including hunger, high prevalence of disease, widespread poverty, chronic conflicts, high dependence on rain-fed agriculture, low levels of development and low adaptive capacity.

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